US Market Update: Producer Prices Steady as Economic Optimism Grows Amid Acquisition News
1 month ago

US benchmark equity indexes closed mostly higher Tuesday as markets assessed the latest producer price report and awaited official data on consumer inflation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5% to 42,518.3, while the S&P 500 increased 0.1% to 5,842.9. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.2% to 19,044.4.

Utilities and financials led the gainers among sectors, while communication services and health care saw the biggest drops. In economic news, US producer price growth unexpectedly decelerated on a sequential basis last month as wholesale costs of services held steady, while goods' price gains cooled, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported.

"A relatively more benign producer price report compared to expectations offers welcome relief for a Federal Reserve increasingly concerned about an acceleration in cost pressures," Stifel said in a note to clients. "While this morning's report does little to arrest the likelihood -- and need -- for a policy pivot near term, it does seemingly afford the Federal Open Market Committee more flexibility for policy as the data continue to evolve in the new year and under a new regime in Washington." BLS data are expected to show Wednesday that the US consumer price index rose 0.4% sequentially and 2.9% annually in December, according to a Bloomberg-compiled consensus.

Small business optimism in the US reached its highest level since October 2018, while the uncertainty index dropped, the National Federation of Independent Business' December survey showed Tuesday. "Small business owners feel more certain and hopeful about the economic agenda of the new Trump administration," NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg said.

"Expectations for economic growth, lower inflation, and positive business conditions have increased in anticipation of pro-business policies and legislation in the new year." The US two-year yield decreased 3.5 basis points to 4.37%, while the 10-year rate lost 1.5 basis points to 4.79%. In company news, United Rentals agreed to acquire H&E Equipment Services in an all-cash deal worth roughly $4.8 billion as the equipment rental company aims to expand its capacity in the US.

United Rentals shares jumped 5.9%, the top gainer on the S&P 500, while H&E Equipment surged 106%. Celanese was the second-best performer on the S&P 500, up 5.4%, as BofA Securities upgraded the stock to buy. Eli Lilly shares dropped 6.6%, the worst performer on the S&P 500, after the drugmaker lowered fourth-quarter and full-year revenue expectations amid slower-than-expected growth in its US incretin division.

Boeing saw the steepest decline on the Dow, down 2.1%, after the plane maker's fourth-quarter and 2024 orders more than halved from a year earlier, with deliveries also dropping. West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 1.3% to $77.8 a barrel Tuesday. Gold rose 0.5% to $2,691.80 per troy ounce, while silver gained 0.8% to $30.55 per ounce..

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Economic Calendar

Fed's Barkin Speaks
2025-03-07 01:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Trade Balance
2025-03-07 04:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
104.84 B US dollars

The Trade Balance is the difference between the monetary value of exports and imports in an economy over a certain period of time.

HBOS House Prices m/m
2025-03-07 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
0.7%

Halifax is the UK's largest mortgage lender and conducts a wide range of housing research including the long standing Halifax House Price Index.

HBOS House Prices y/y
2025-03-07 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.0%

Halifax is the UK's largest mortgage lender and conducts a wide range of housing research including the long standing Halifax House Price Index.

Factory Orders m/m
2025-03-07 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
6.9%

The total of orders received comprises the value (excluding turnover tax) of all orders definitely accepted by the local units in manufacturing with 50 employees and over in the respective reference month.

Manufacturing Production m/m
2025-03-07 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.2%

The primary goal of the Production Index is to monitor the development of added value (production minus intermediate consumption) in the industries.

Current Account
2025-03-07 08:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
2.4 B EUR

It measures economic transactions of an economy with the rest of the world, for a specific time period.

Trade Balance
2025-03-07 08:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-3.9 B EUR

It measures the difference between imports and exports data in billions of EUR.

Industrial Production y/y
2025-03-07 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
2.1%

The Industrial Production Index (IPI) is a situational indicator that measures the monthly development of productive activity of industrial branches, excluding construction.

Employment y/y
2025-03-07 11:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.6%
Previous
1.0%

Employment consists of both employees and self-employed, who are engaged in some productive activity that falls within the production boundary of the system.

Employment q/q
2025-03-07 11:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.1%
Previous
0.2%

Employment consists of both employees and self-employed, who are engaged in some productive activity that falls within the production boundary of the system.

Final Gross Domestic Product q/q
2025-03-07 11:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.1%
Previous
0.4%

Gross domestic product (GDP) is a measure for the economic activity.

Average Hourly Earnings m/m
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.3%
Previous
0.5%

Average hourly earnings series, derived by dividing gross payrolls by total hours, reflect the actual earnings of workers, including premium pay.

Average Weekly Hours
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
34.2 hours
Previous
34.1 hours

Total hours during the pay period include all hours worked (including overtime hours), hours paid for standby or reporting time, and equivalent hours for which employees received pay directly from the employer for sick leave, holidays, vacations, and other leave.

Change in Non-Farm Payrolls
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
133 000
Previous
143 000

The Current Employment Statistics (CES) program, also known as the payroll survey or the establishment survey, is a monthly sample of nearly 400 000 business establishments nationwide.

Unemployment Rate
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
4.0%
Previous
4.0%

People are classified as unemployed if they meet all of the following criteria: They had no employment during the reference week; they were available for work at that time; and they made specific efforts to find employment sometime during the 4-week period ending with the reference week.

Capacity Utilization Rate
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
79.3%

The industrial capacity utilization rate is the ratio of an industry's actual output to its estimated potential output.

Unemployment Rate
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
6.6%

The Labour Force Survey (LFS) is a monthly survey involving around 50 000 Canadian households.

Fed's Williams Speaks
2025-03-07 16:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Fed Chair Powell speaks
2025-03-07 18:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous

Jerome Powell succeeded Janet Yellen as Chairperson of the US Federal Reserve in February 2018 for a four-year term.

Consumer Credit
2025-03-07 20:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
40.85 B USD

It covers most short - and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals, excluding loans secured by real estate.

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