US Markets Rally as Inflation Data Surprises Investors
1 day ago

US benchmark equity indexes closed higher Friday as investors weighed the latest economic data, including a report showing that the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge unexpectedly held steady last month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.2% to 42,840.3, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.1% to 5,930.9.

The Nasdaq Composite increased 1% to 19,572.6. All sectors posted gains, led by real estate. For the week, the Dow dropped 2.3%, while the S&P 500 lost 2%. The Nasdaq shed 1.8%. In economic news, US consumer spending growth accelerated in November, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said. The Fed's preferred core measure, which excludes food and energy, was flat at 2.8% annually last month and eased to 0.1% from 0.3% sequentially.

Markets were predicting 2.9% and 0.2% growth, respectively. 'Although a more cautious Fed will likely pass on lowering (interest) rates again in January, we continue to look for a move in March as inflation makes further progress toward the target,' BMO said. Earlier in the week, the Fed reduced interest rates by 25 basis points and flagged fewer cuts ahead than projected in September. US consumer sentiment grew in December to its highest level since April, while year-ahead inflation expectations logged its first month-over-month increase in seven months, final results from the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers showed Friday. 'Broadly speaking, consumers believe that the economy has improved considerably as inflation has slowed, but they do not feel that they are thriving,' Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said. The US 10-year yield fell 4.2 basis points to 4.53%, while the two-year rate decreased one basis point to 4.31%. In company news, Carnival ($CCL) swung to better-than-expected adjusted earnings in its fiscal fourth quarter from a year earlier.

The cruise operator's US-listed shares jumped 6.4%, among the best performers on the S&P 500. Humana ($HUM) has appointed Japan Mehta as chief information officer, effective in the first quarter, succeeding Sam Deshpande. The health insurer's share rose 4.8%. Tesla ($TSLA) was the worst performer on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, down 3.5%.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration said Thursday that the electric vehicle maker is recalling 694,304 vehicles in the US over a problem with the tire pressure monitoring system that may improperly inflate tires, increasing the risk of accidents. Novo Nordisk's ($NOV) US-listed shares tumbled nearly 18% after clinical trial results of the Danish pharmaceutical giant's investigative weight loss drug fell short of its own expectations. West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 0.2% to $69.52 a barrel Friday. Gold gained 1.3% to $2,642.70 per troy ounce, while silver increased 2.5% to $30.14 per ounce..

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Economic Calendar

M3 Money Supply y/y
2024-12-23 03:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
419.0%

M3 is the broadest monetary aggregate.

Unemployment Rate
2024-12-23 07:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
8.7%

The ratio of the unemployed to all persons in the labour force.

Current Account
2024-12-23 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-28.4 B GBP

It summarizes the flow of all goods, services, income, and transfer payments to and from the UK.

Final Gross Domestic Product y/y
2024-12-23 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
1.0%

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is an integral part of the UK national accounts and provides a measure of the total economic activity in a region.

Final Gross Domestic Product q/q
2024-12-23 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
0.1%

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is an integral part of the UK national accounts and provides a measure of the total economic activity in a region.

Unemployment Rate
2024-12-23 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
4.1%

Employed is defined as persons with income from work.

M3 Money Supply y/y
2024-12-23 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
1,147,624.0%

Monetary aggregate (M3) comprises M2 plus time deposits in Swiss francs held in banks by residents.

Final Gross Domestic Product y/y
2024-12-23 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
3.4%
Previous
3.1% R (3.4%)

The Quarterly Spanish National Accounts (QSNA) is a short term summary statistic whose main objective is to provide a coherent qualitative description of Spanish economic activity as a whole in the immediate past via a quarterly macro-economic framework, elaborated from the point of view of supply, demand and income.

Final Gross Domestic Product q/q
2024-12-23 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.8%
Previous
0.8%

The Quarterly Spanish National Accounts (QSNA) is a short term summary statistic whose main objective is to provide a coherent qualitative description of Spanish economic activity as a whole in the immediate past via a quarterly macro-economic framework, elaborated from the point of view of supply, demand and income.

Trade Balance non EU
2024-12-23 10:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
5.71 B EUR

The headline figure, expressed in billions of EUR, is the value of exports to Non European Union countries minus the value of imports from those countries.

Chicago Fed National Activity Index
2024-12-23 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-0.40

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Gross Domestic Product m/m
2024-12-23 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.1%
Previous
0.1%

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by industry at basic prices is a measure of the economic production which takes place within the geographical boundaries of Canada.

Industrial Production Price Index m/m
2024-12-23 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
1.2%

The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) reflects the prices that producers in Canada receive as the goods leave the plant gate.

Raw Material Price Index m/m
2024-12-23 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.8%

The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) measures price changes for raw materials purchased by industries in Canada for further processing.

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