US Markets Rally as Fed Holds Steady on Inflation Rates
2 months ago

US benchmark equity indexes closed higher Friday as investors weighed the latest economic data, including a report showing that the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge unexpectedly held steady last month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.2% to 42,840.3, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.1% to 5,930.9.

The Nasdaq Composite increased 1% to 19,572.6. All sectors posted gains, led by real estate. For the week, the Dow dropped 2.3%, while the S&P 500 lost 2%. The Nasdaq shed 1.8%. In economic news, US consumer spending growth accelerated in November, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said. The Fed's preferred core measure, which excludes food and energy, was flat at 2.8% annually last month and eased to 0.1% from 0.3% sequentially.

Markets were predicting 2.9% and 0.2% growth, respectively. "Although a more cautious Fed will likely pass on lowering (interest) rates again in January, we continue to look for a move in March as inflation makes further progress toward the target," BMO said. Earlier in the week, the Fed reduced interest rates by 25 basis points and flagged fewer cuts ahead than projected in September. US consumer sentiment grew in December to its highest level since April, while year-ahead inflation expectations logged its first month-over-month increase in seven months, final results from the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers showed Friday. "Broadly speaking, consumers believe that the economy has improved considerably as inflation has slowed, but they do not feel that they are thriving," Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said. The US 10-year yield fell four basis points to 4.53%, while the two-year rate was little changed at 4.32%. In company news, Carnival ($CCL) swung to better-than-expected adjusted earnings in its fiscal fourth quarter from a year earlier.

The cruise operator's US-listed shares jumped 6.4%, among the best performers on the S&P 500. Humana ($HUM) has appointed Japan Mehta as chief information officer, effective in the first quarter, succeeding Sam Deshpande. The health insurer's share rose 4.8%. Tesla ($TSLA) was the worst performer on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, down 3.5%.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration said Thursday that the electric vehicle maker is recalling 694,304 vehicles in the US over a problem with the tire pressure monitoring system that may improperly inflate tires, increasing the risk of accidents. Novo Nordisk's ($NOV) US-listed shares tumbled nearly 18% after clinical trial results of the Danish pharmaceutical giant's investigative weight loss drug fell short of its own expectations. West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 0.2% to $69.50 a barrel Friday. Gold gained 1.2% to $2,639.70 per troy ounce, while silver increased 2.3% to $30.08 per ounce..

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Economic Calendar

Unemployment Rate
2025-03-12 06:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
7.2%

Up to and including March 2005, data refers to all persons of working age who during the reference week were not employed, but were willing and able to work and had looked for work (or would have looked for work if they had not been temporarily prevented from doing so) during the last four weeks.

Retail Sales y/y
2025-03-12 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
4.0%

The main objective of the Retail Trade (or Retail Sales) Indices (RTI) is to obtain the fundamental characteristics of companies dedicated to the exercise of retail sales in Spain, which facilitates measuring in the short term, the development of activity in the sector.

ECB Press Conference, ECB President Speaks
2025-03-12 09:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
MBA Mortgage Applications
2025-03-12 12:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
20.4%

The Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey contains 15 indices covering application activity for fixed rate, adjustable rate, conventional and government loans for home purchases and refinances.

OPEC Meeting
2025-03-12 12:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) y/y
2025-03-12 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.3%

Bureau of Labour Statistics also calculates and publishes indexes for special aggregations, such as energy items, that cut across the above classification scheme.

Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m
2025-03-12 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.3%
Previous
0.4%

Bureau of Labour Statistics also calculates and publishes indexes for special aggregations, such as energy items, that cut across the above classification scheme.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m
2025-03-12 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.3%
Previous
0.5%

The CPI (Consumer Price Index) provides an estimate of the price change between any two periods.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) y/y
2025-03-12 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.0%

The CPI (Consumer Price Index) provides an estimate of the price change between any two periods.

Crude Oil Inventories
2025-03-12 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
433.8 M Barrels

The Weekly Petroleum Status Report (WPSR) provides timely information on supply and prices of crude oil and principal petroleum products in the context of historical data and forecasts.

Interest Rate Decision
2025-03-12 14:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.00%

The Bank carries out monetary policy by influencing short-term interest rates.

Federal Budget Balance
2025-03-12 19:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-129.0 B USD

The Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the United States Government (MTS) is prepared by the Financial Management Service, Department of the Treasury, and after approval by the Fiscal Assistant Secretary of the Treasury.

Building Approvals m/m
2025-03-13 01:30:00
Actual
Forecast
6.3%
Previous
0.7%

This indicator shows the number of permits for new construction projects.

Consumer Price Index y/y
2025-03-13 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
1.3%
Previous
0.9%

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most common measure of changes in prices.

Consumer Price Index m/m
2025-03-13 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.6%
Previous
0.0%

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most common measure of changes in prices.

Producer and Import Prices y/y
2025-03-13 08:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-0.3%

The producer price index relates to goods produced and sold on the domestic market or exported by enterprises based in Switzerland.

Producer and Import Prices m/m
2025-03-13 08:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
0.1%

The producer price index relates to goods produced and sold on the domestic market or exported by enterprises based in Switzerland.

Industrial Production y/y
2025-03-13 11:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-2.0%

The Industrial Production Index is a business cycle indicator showing the output and activity of industry.

Industrial Production m/m
2025-03-13 11:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.8%
Previous
-1.1%

The Industrial Production Index is a business cycle indicator showing the output and activity of industry.

Core Producer Price Index (PPI) y/y
2025-03-13 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.6%

Because prices for food and energy have tended to be so erratic in recent years, some economists prefer to focus attention on an index measuring prices for finished goods other than foods and energy as a better measure of the so-called core or underlying rate of inflation.

Core Producer Price Index (PPI) m/m
2025-03-13 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.3%
Previous
0.3%

Because prices for food and energy have tended to be so erratic in recent years, some economists prefer to focus attention on an index measuring prices for finished goods other than foods and energy as a better measure of the so-called core or underlying rate of inflation.

Initial Jobless Claims
2025-03-13 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
221 000

Initial Jobless Claims is a report issued by the U.

Producer Price Index (PPI) m/m
2025-03-13 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.3%
Previous
0.4%

The Producer Price Index (PPI) of the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) is a family of indexes that measure the average change over time in the prices received by domestic producers of goods and services.

Producer Price Index (PPI) y/y
2025-03-13 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.5%

The Producer Price Index (PPI) of the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) is a family of indexes that measure the average change over time in the prices received by domestic producers of goods and services.

Building Permits m/m
2025-03-13 13:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
11.0%

The Building Permits Survey covers all Canadian municipalities that issue permits.

Natural Gas Storage
2025-03-13 15:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
1760 BCF

This report tracks U.

Food Price Index (FPI) m/m
2025-03-13 22:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
1.9%

The Food Price Index (FPI) measures the price change rate of a fixed basket of food goods and services purchased by households.

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