US Stocks Rally as Inflation Data Eases Shutdown Fears
1 day ago

The US equity markets experienced a notable recovery after a steep decline prior to the market opening, driven by favorable inflation figures that alleviated worries of an impending partial government shutdown. The S&P 500 surged by 1.7% to reach 5,967.8, while the Nasdaq climbed 1.8% to 19,707.4, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average also rose by 1.8% landing at 43,094.9.

All sectors experienced gains during intraday trading, with real estate, healthcare, and financials leading the pack. Prior to the market's regular trading hours, stocks were in a downturn, with the Dow and Nasdaq each dropping over 250 points and the S&P 500 down by 50 points. While concerns linger about the potential for a partial shutdown of the US government, the inflation data, favored by the Federal Reserve, released on Friday provided some comfort, revealing a slowdown in month-over-month price growth.

The CBOE's Volatility Index (VIX), often referred to as the fear gauge, dropped by 24% post-lunch as a reaction to the news. A bill proposed by House Republicans aimed at suspending the debt ceiling for two years and funding the government for three months did not pass late Thursday, indicating that without an agreement by Friday, a partial shutdown could commence today as stated in a research note from D.A.

Davidson. House Speaker Mike Johnson, who previously negotiated the bipartisan deal that was rejected by President-Elect Trump, mentioned to reporters that he has a strategy and anticipates another vote soon, as reported by CNN. Turning to economic indicators, the headline PCE price index saw a modest increase of 0.1% in November, a slight decrease from the 0.2% rise observed in October.

On a yearly basis, inflation edged up to 2.4% from 2.3%. Analysts on Wall Street had anticipated a sequential increase of 0.2% and an annualized rate of 2.5%. The Fed's core measure, excluding food and energy costs, remained unchanged at an annualized rate of 2.8%, but showed a decline from 0.3% to 0.1% on a sequential basis.

Predictions for these metrics had been set at 2.9% and 0.2% growth, respectively. As for Treasury yields, the day saw mixed results, with the 10-year yield decreasing by 4.8 basis points to rest at 4.52%. In corporate updates, Nike reported a dip in fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue. Truist Securities highlighted that CEO Elliot Hill's rapid turnaround initiatives exerted pressure on the outlook for the second half of fiscal 2025.

FedEx, on the other hand, announced that its fiscal second-quarter earnings exceeded analyst expectations, although its revenue fell short of forecasts. The parcel delivery service revealed plans to separate its freight operations into a publicly listed company. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures declined by 0.7% to $68.91 a barrel..

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Economic Calendar

M3 Money Supply y/y
2024-12-23 03:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
419.0%

M3 is the broadest monetary aggregate.

Unemployment Rate
2024-12-23 07:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
8.7%

The ratio of the unemployed to all persons in the labour force.

Current Account
2024-12-23 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-28.4 B GBP

It summarizes the flow of all goods, services, income, and transfer payments to and from the UK.

Final Gross Domestic Product y/y
2024-12-23 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
1.0%

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is an integral part of the UK national accounts and provides a measure of the total economic activity in a region.

Final Gross Domestic Product q/q
2024-12-23 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
0.1%

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is an integral part of the UK national accounts and provides a measure of the total economic activity in a region.

Unemployment Rate
2024-12-23 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
4.1%

Employed is defined as persons with income from work.

M3 Money Supply y/y
2024-12-23 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
1,147,624.0%

Monetary aggregate (M3) comprises M2 plus time deposits in Swiss francs held in banks by residents.

Final Gross Domestic Product y/y
2024-12-23 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
3.4%
Previous
3.1% R (3.4%)

The Quarterly Spanish National Accounts (QSNA) is a short term summary statistic whose main objective is to provide a coherent qualitative description of Spanish economic activity as a whole in the immediate past via a quarterly macro-economic framework, elaborated from the point of view of supply, demand and income.

Final Gross Domestic Product q/q
2024-12-23 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.8%
Previous
0.8%

The Quarterly Spanish National Accounts (QSNA) is a short term summary statistic whose main objective is to provide a coherent qualitative description of Spanish economic activity as a whole in the immediate past via a quarterly macro-economic framework, elaborated from the point of view of supply, demand and income.

Trade Balance non EU
2024-12-23 10:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
5.71 B EUR

The headline figure, expressed in billions of EUR, is the value of exports to Non European Union countries minus the value of imports from those countries.

Chicago Fed National Activity Index
2024-12-23 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-0.40

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Gross Domestic Product m/m
2024-12-23 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.1%
Previous
0.1%

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by industry at basic prices is a measure of the economic production which takes place within the geographical boundaries of Canada.

Industrial Production Price Index m/m
2024-12-23 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
1.2%

The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) reflects the prices that producers in Canada receive as the goods leave the plant gate.

Raw Material Price Index m/m
2024-12-23 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.8%

The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) measures price changes for raw materials purchased by industries in Canada for further processing.

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